BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1 Class Rank: 302 Overall: (10-22) Overall Strength = 16.42
Conference: Big Sky Record: (4-15) | District: 1-02 Record: (7-20)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Neutral L * 19.36 71 77 1 179 (14-20) Drake 2.74 -8.74
2 11-07-2025 Home W 15.90 87 55 ZZ 172 ( 0- 3) Justice -0.72 * 32.72
3 11-11-2025 Away L 23.05 49 84 1 3 (36- 3) Arizona 6.43 * -41.43
4 11-18-2025 Home W 16.62 108 79 ZZ 145 ( 0- 1) Embry-Riddle AZ 0.00 * 29.00
5 11-24-2025 Home W * 26.24 93 87 1 217 (14-19) Cal Poly 9.62 -3.62
6 11-26-2025 Home W * 25.32 79 72 1 237 (20-13) SE Missouri St 8.70 -1.70
7 12-03-2025 Home L * 8.21 62 75 1 207 (14-18) S Dakota St -8.41 -4.59
8 12-06-2025 Away L * 31.54 68 69 1 121 (26- 8) N Dakota St 14.92 -15.92
9 12-09-2025 Away L 13.66 48 73 1 69 (17-16) Arizona St -2.96 -22.04
10 12-13-2025 Away L * 16.07 69 78 1 223 (12-21) San Diego -0.55 -8.45
11 12-18-2025 Home W * 23.96 65 57 1 262 (10-22) Southern Utah 7.33 0.67
12 12-21-2025 Away L * -0.62 66 90 1 253 (12-19) Incarnate Word -17.24 -6.76
13 12-29-2025 Home W 16.62 112 60 ZZ 314 ( 0- 1) Benedictine AZ 0.00 * 52.00
14 01-01-2026 Away L * * 13.85 64 78 1 184 (17-16) Montana -2.77 -11.23
15 01-03-2026 Away L * * 22.54 68 77 1 133 (18-14) Montana St 5.92 -14.92
16 01-08-2026 Home L * * 8.86 65 78 1 189 (16-16) Weber St -7.76 -5.24
17 01-10-2026 Home L * * 17.30 79 81 1 228 (13-20) Idaho St 0.68 -2.68
18 01-15-2026 Away L * * 9.21 69 83 1 258 (10-21) CS Sacramento -7.41 -6.59
19 01-17-2026 Away L * * 18.48 52 63 1 144 (20-11) Portland St 1.86 -12.86
20 01-19-2026 Home L * * -3.55 72 98 1 184 (17-16) Montana -20.17 -5.83
21 01-24-2026 Home W * * 28.97 81 77 1 143 (20-12) N Colorado 12.35 -8.35
22 01-29-2026 Home W * * 28.82 92 86 1 176 (14-19) E Washington 12.20 -6.20
23 01-31-2026 Home L * * 8.24 62 79 1 146 (21-15) Idaho -8.38 -8.62
24 02-05-2026 Away W * * 30.70 79 73 1 228 (13-20) Idaho St 14.08 -8.08
25 02-07-2026 Away L * * 8.27 53 72 1 189 (16-16) Weber St -8.36 -10.64
26 02-12-2026 Home L * * 15.08 68 77 1 144 (20-11) Portland St -1.54 -7.46
27 02-14-2026 Home W * * 22.81 79 74 1 258 (10-21) CS Sacramento 6.19 -1.19
28 02-21-2026 Away L * * 29.38 77 78 1 143 (20-12) N Colorado 12.75 -13.75
29 02-26-2026 Away L * * 10.64 58 78 1 146 (21-15) Idaho -5.98 -14.02
30 02-28-2026 Away L * * -2.77 57 88 1 176 (14-19) E Washington -19.40 -11.60
31 03-02-2026 Home L * * 15.14 65 76 1 133 (18-14) Montana St -1.49 -9.51
32 03-07-2026 Neutral L * * 14.00 65 73 1 228 (13-20) Idaho St -2.62 -5.38
Averages 16.62 71.3 76.4
Best game: 31.54 = 1 point loss to N Dakota St
Worst game: -3.55 = 26 point loss to Montana
Team stdev: 9.34