BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Northern Arizona

Class: 1 Class Rank: 267 Overall: (6-9) Overall Strength =   19.03
Conference: Big Sky Record: (0-2) | District: 1-02 Record: (3-7)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Neutral L   *  22.51  71  77    1 151 ( 8- 7) Drake                   3.15     -9.15                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    W      19.43  87  55   ZZ 150 ( 0- 3) Justice                 0.07 *   31.93                      
 3 11-11-2025 Away    L      22.88  49  84    1   2 (14- 0) Arizona                 3.53 *  -38.53                      
 4 11-18-2025 Home    W      19.35 108  79   ZZ 132 ( 0- 1) Embry-Riddle AZ         0.00 *   29.00                      
 5 11-24-2025 Home    W   *  25.97  93  87    1 223 ( 6-10) Cal Poly                6.62     -0.62                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    W   *  27.18  79  72    1 212 ( 8- 7) SE Missouri St          7.82     -0.82                      
 7 12-03-2025 Home    L   *  10.12  62  75    1 185 ( 8- 9) S Dakota St            -9.23     -3.77                      
 8 12-06-2025 Away    L   *  30.84  68  69    1 140 (11- 5) N Dakota St            11.49    -12.49                      
 9 12-09-2025 Away    L      13.11  48  73    1  83 ( 9- 5) Arizona St             -6.24    -18.76                      
10 12-13-2025 Away    L   *  17.74  69  78    1 232 ( 6-10) San Diego              -1.61     -7.39                      
11 12-18-2025 Home    W   *  17.47  65  57    1 336 ( 4-11) Southern Utah          -1.88      9.88                      
12 12-21-2025 Away    L   *   5.88  66  90    1 162 ( 8- 7) Incarnate Word        -13.48    -10.52                      
13 12-29-2025 Home    W      19.35 112  60   ZZ 303 ( 0- 1) Benedictine AZ          0.00 *   52.00                      
14 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  14.64  64  78    1 177 ( 7- 7) Montana                -4.71     -9.29                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    L * *  23.83  68  77    1 126 ( 8- 7) Montana St              4.48    -13.48                      
16 01/08/2026 Home      * *                   1 178 ( 7- 8) Weber St                         -4.46            
17 01/10/2026 Home      * *                   1 129 ( 8- 7) Idaho St                         -7.82            
18 01/15/2026 Away      * *                   1 260 ( 4-10) CS Sacramento                    -3.52            
19 01/17/2026 Away      * *                   1 160 ( 8- 5) Portland St                     -11.25            
20 01/19/2026 Home      * *                   1 177 ( 7- 7) Montana                          -4.53            
21 01/24/2026 Home      * *                   1 157 (10- 5) N Colorado                       -5.89            
22 01/29/2026 Home      * *                   1 236 ( 2-12) E Washington                      0.20            
23 01/31/2026 Home      * *                   1 158 ( 9- 5) Idaho                            -5.68            
24 02/05/2026 Away      * *                   1 129 ( 8- 7) Idaho St                        -13.58            
25 02/07/2026 Away      * *                   1 178 ( 7- 8) Weber St                        -10.21            
26 02/12/2026 Home      * *                   1 160 ( 8- 5) Portland St                      -5.49            
27 02/14/2026 Home      * *                   1 260 ( 4-10) CS Sacramento                     2.23            
28 02/21/2026 Away      * *                   1 157 (10- 5) N Colorado                      -11.64            
29 02/26/2026 Away      * *                   1 158 ( 9- 5) Idaho                           -11.43            
30 02/28/2026 Away      * *                   1 236 ( 2-12) E Washington                     -5.56            
31 03/02/2026 Home      * *                   1 126 ( 8- 7) Montana St                       -8.03            
      Averages              19.35  73.9 74.1

Best game:   30.84 = 1 point loss to N Dakota St
Worst game:   5.88 = 24 point loss to Incarnate Word
Team stdev:   6.62