BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Northern Arizona

Class: 1 Class Rank: 233 Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =   23.23
Conference: Big Sky Record: (0-0) | District: 1-02 Record: (2-4)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Neutral L   *  26.02  71  77    1 158 ( 6- 5) Drake                   2.67     -8.67                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    W      21.97  87  55   ZZ 186 ( 0- 3) Justice                -1.37 *   33.37                      
 3 11-11-2025 Away    L      25.49  49  84    1   2 ( 9- 0) Arizona                 2.15 *  -37.15                      
 4 11-18-2025 Home    W      23.34 108  79   ZZ 150 ( 0- 1) Embry-Riddle AZ        -0.00 *   29.00                      
 5 11-24-2025 Home    W   *  27.64  93  87    1 215 ( 5- 6) Cal Poly                4.30      1.70                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    W   *  29.02  79  72    1 197 ( 5- 6) SE Missouri St          5.67      1.33                      
 7 12-03-2025 Home    L   *  13.83  62  75    1 146 ( 7- 5) S Dakota St            -9.51     -3.49                      
 8 12-06-2025 Away    L   *  32.60  68  69    1 137 ( 8- 3) N Dakota St             9.25    -10.25                      
 9 12-09-2025 Away    L      17.37  48  73    1  47 ( 9- 2) Arizona St             -5.97    -19.03                      
10 12-13-2025 Away    L   *  16.16  69  78    1 247 ( 4- 6) San Diego              -7.19     -1.81                      
11 12/18/2025 Home        *                   1 323 ( 4- 8) Southern Utah                    11.48            
12 12/20/2025 Away        *                   1 235 ( 5- 5) Incarnate Word                   -2.63            
13 12/21/2025 Away        *                   1 235 ( 5- 5) Incarnate Word                   -2.63            
14 12/29/2025 Home                           ZZ  40 ( 0- 0) Benedictine AZ                    2.73            
15 01/01/2026 Away      * *                   1 213 ( 5- 5) Montana                          -4.12            
16 01/03/2026 Away      * *                   1 134 ( 4- 7) Montana St                      -10.55            
17 01/08/2026 Home      * *                   1 163 ( 5- 5) Weber St                         -2.51            
18 01/10/2026 Home      * *                   1 106 ( 6- 5) Idaho St                         -8.04            
19 01/15/2026 Away      * *                   1 251 ( 4- 6) CS Sacramento                    -1.73            
20 01/17/2026 Away      * *                   1 203 ( 6- 3) Portland St                      -5.11            
21 01/19/2026 Home      * *                   1 213 ( 5- 5) Montana                           1.56            
22 01/24/2026 Home      * *                   1 144 ( 9- 1) N Colorado                       -4.04            
23 01/29/2026 Home      * *                   1 217 ( 2- 8) E Washington                      1.66            
24 01/31/2026 Home      * *                   1 143 ( 7- 4) Idaho                            -4.31            
25 02/05/2026 Away      * *                   1 106 ( 6- 5) Idaho St                        -13.73            
26 02/07/2026 Away      * *                   1 163 ( 5- 5) Weber St                         -8.19            
27 02/12/2026 Home      * *                   1 203 ( 6- 3) Portland St                       0.58            
28 02/14/2026 Home      * *                   1 251 ( 4- 6) CS Sacramento                     3.95            
29 02/21/2026 Away      * *                   1 144 ( 9- 1) N Colorado                       -9.73            
30 02/26/2026 Away      * *                   1 143 ( 7- 4) Idaho                            -9.99            
31 02/28/2026 Away      * *                   1 217 ( 2- 8) E Washington                     -4.02            
32 03/02/2026 Home      * *                   1 134 ( 4- 7) Montana St                       -4.86            
      Averages              23.34  73.4 74.9

Best game:   32.60 = 1 point loss to N Dakota St
Worst game:  13.83 = 13 point loss to S Dakota St
Team stdev:   6.03