BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1 Class Rank: 297 Overall: (10-21) Overall Strength = 16.47
Conference: Big Sky Record: (4-14) | District: 1-02 Record: (7-19)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Neutral L * 18.61 71 77 1 185 (12-19) Drake 1.93 -7.93
2 11-07-2025 Home W 15.95 87 55 ZZ 172 ( 0- 3) Justice -0.73 * 32.73
3 11-11-2025 Away L 22.82 49 84 1 3 (28- 2) Arizona 6.14 * -41.14
4 11-18-2025 Home W 16.67 108 79 ZZ 143 ( 0- 1) Embry-Riddle AZ 0.00 * 29.00
5 11-24-2025 Home W * 25.75 93 87 1 217 (13-17) Cal Poly 9.08 -3.08
6 11-26-2025 Home W * 25.63 79 72 1 230 (19-12) SE Missouri St 8.96 -1.96
7 12-03-2025 Home L * 8.34 62 75 1 196 (14-17) S Dakota St -8.33 -4.67
8 12-06-2025 Away L * 31.41 68 69 1 121 (23- 7) N Dakota St 14.73 -15.73
9 12-09-2025 Away L 14.53 48 73 1 65 (16-14) Arizona St -2.14 -22.86
10 12-13-2025 Away L * 15.42 69 78 1 233 (11-20) San Diego -1.25 -7.75
11 12-18-2025 Home W * 23.56 65 57 1 267 (10-19) Southern Utah 6.88 1.12
12 12-21-2025 Away L * -0.77 66 90 1 258 (12-19) Incarnate Word -17.44 -6.56
13 12-29-2025 Home W 16.67 112 60 ZZ 314 ( 0- 1) Benedictine AZ -0.00 * 52.00
14 01-01-2026 Away L * * 13.68 64 78 1 178 (15-15) Montana -3.00 -11.00
15 01-03-2026 Away L * * 22.65 68 77 1 132 (18-13) Montana St 5.97 -14.97
16 01-08-2026 Home L * * 8.96 65 78 1 183 (16-15) Weber St -7.72 -5.28
17 01-10-2026 Home L * * 17.36 79 81 1 225 (12-19) Idaho St 0.68 -2.68
18 01-15-2026 Away L * * 9.68 69 83 1 248 (10-20) CS Sacramento -7.00 -7.00
19 01-17-2026 Away L * * 18.59 52 63 1 140 (19-10) Portland St 1.92 -12.92
20 01-19-2026 Home L * * -3.75 72 98 1 178 (15-15) Montana -20.42 -5.58
21 01-24-2026 Home W * * 29.32 81 77 1 137 (20-11) N Colorado 12.65 -8.65
22 01-29-2026 Home W * * 28.96 92 86 1 169 (13-18) E Washington 12.29 -6.29
23 01-31-2026 Home L * * 7.25 62 79 1 157 (17-14) Idaho -9.43 -7.57
24 02-05-2026 Away W * * 30.79 79 73 1 225 (12-19) Idaho St 14.11 -8.11
25 02-07-2026 Away L * * 8.38 53 72 1 183 (16-15) Weber St -8.29 -10.71
26 02-12-2026 Home L * * 15.16 68 77 1 140 (19-10) Portland St -1.51 -7.49
27 02-14-2026 Home W * * 23.25 79 74 1 248 (10-20) CS Sacramento 6.57 -1.57
28 02-21-2026 Away L * * 29.75 77 78 1 137 (20-11) N Colorado 13.07 -14.07
29 02-26-2026 Away L * * 9.67 58 78 1 157 (17-14) Idaho -7.00 -13.00
30 02-28-2026 Away L * * -2.61 57 88 1 169 (13-18) E Washington -19.28 -11.72
31 03-02-2026 Home L * * 15.22 65 76 1 132 (18-13) Montana St -1.45 -9.55
Averages 16.67 71.5 76.5
Best game: 31.41 = 1 point loss to N Dakota St
Worst game: -3.75 = 26 point loss to Montana
Team stdev: 9.54