BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1 Class Rank: 301 Overall: (10-22) Overall Strength = 16.48
Conference: Big Sky Record: (4-15) | District: 1-02 Record: (7-20)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Neutral L * 19.47 71 77 1 177 (14-20) Drake 2.77 -8.77
2 11-07-2025 Home W 15.97 87 55 ZZ 171 ( 0- 3) Justice -0.73 * 32.73
3 11-11-2025 Away L 23.44 49 84 1 3 (36- 2) Arizona 6.75 * -41.75
4 11-18-2025 Home W 16.69 108 79 ZZ 145 ( 0- 1) Embry-Riddle AZ -0.00 * 29.00
5 11-24-2025 Home W * 26.29 93 87 1 217 (14-19) Cal Poly 9.60 -3.60
6 11-26-2025 Home W * 25.36 79 72 1 237 (20-13) SE Missouri St 8.67 -1.67
7 12-03-2025 Home L * 8.27 62 75 1 207 (14-18) S Dakota St -8.42 -4.58
8 12-06-2025 Away L * 31.59 68 69 1 121 (26- 8) N Dakota St 14.90 -15.90
9 12-09-2025 Away L 13.71 48 73 1 70 (17-16) Arizona St -2.98 -22.02
10 12-13-2025 Away L * 16.12 69 78 1 223 (12-21) San Diego -0.57 -8.43
11 12-18-2025 Home W * 24.01 65 57 1 262 (10-22) Southern Utah 7.32 0.68
12 12-21-2025 Away L * -0.58 66 90 1 253 (12-19) Incarnate Word -17.27 -6.73
13 12-29-2025 Home W 16.69 112 60 ZZ 314 ( 0- 1) Benedictine AZ -0.00 * 52.00
14 01-01-2026 Away L * * 13.91 64 78 1 184 (17-16) Montana -2.78 -11.22
15 01-03-2026 Away L * * 22.60 68 77 1 133 (18-14) Montana St 5.91 -14.91
16 01-08-2026 Home L * * 8.92 65 78 1 189 (16-16) Weber St -7.77 -5.23
17 01-10-2026 Home L * * 17.36 79 81 1 228 (13-20) Idaho St 0.66 -2.66
18 01-15-2026 Away L * * 9.28 69 83 1 259 (10-21) CS Sacramento -7.41 -6.59
19 01-17-2026 Away L * * 18.54 52 63 1 144 (20-11) Portland St 1.85 -12.85
20 01-19-2026 Home L * * -3.49 72 98 1 184 (17-16) Montana -20.19 -5.81
21 01-24-2026 Home W * * 29.03 81 77 1 143 (20-12) N Colorado 12.34 -8.34
22 01-29-2026 Home W * * 28.87 92 86 1 176 (14-19) E Washington 12.18 -6.18
23 01-31-2026 Home L * * 8.29 62 79 1 146 (21-15) Idaho -8.40 -8.60
24 02-05-2026 Away W * * 30.76 79 73 1 228 (13-20) Idaho St 14.07 -8.07
25 02-07-2026 Away L * * 8.32 53 72 1 189 (16-16) Weber St -8.37 -10.63
26 02-12-2026 Home L * * 15.14 68 77 1 144 (20-11) Portland St -1.55 -7.45
27 02-14-2026 Home W * * 22.87 79 74 1 259 (10-21) CS Sacramento 6.18 -1.18
28 02-21-2026 Away L * * 29.43 77 78 1 143 (20-12) N Colorado 12.74 -13.74
29 02-26-2026 Away L * * 10.70 58 78 1 146 (21-15) Idaho -5.99 -14.01
30 02-28-2026 Away L * * -2.72 57 88 1 176 (14-19) E Washington -19.41 -11.59
31 03-02-2026 Home L * * 15.20 65 76 1 133 (18-14) Montana St -1.49 -9.51
32 03-07-2026 Neutral L * * 14.06 65 73 1 228 (13-20) Idaho St -2.63 -5.37
Averages 16.69 71.3 76.4
Best game: 31.59 = 1 point loss to N Dakota St
Worst game: -3.49 = 26 point loss to Montana
Team stdev: 9.35